ISBN: 978 984 506 239 8

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MONEY AND MACROECONOMICS Selected Topics from Bangladesh

By M. Faizul Islam (Editor) Rahim M. Quazi (Editor) Farida C. Khan (Editor)

Publisher(s): The University Press Limited (UPL)   

First Published: 2017 Weight (kg): 1

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Founded in 1987, Bangladesh Development Initiative (BDI) is a U.S.-based think tank of scholars and professionals engaged in the generation and dissemination of knowledge and policy prescriptions on a wide ranging development issues of Bangladesh. As part of its activities, BDI has been involved in the semi-annual publication of its peer-reviewed multi-disciplinary journal (Journal of Bangladesh Studies), publication of edited volumes and periodically holding conferences on development issues. The papers in this volume are those selected for publication from the fourth BDI conference held at the University of California-Berkeley on February 22-24, 2013. The theme of the conference was “Bridging the Policy-Action Divide: Challenges and Prospects for Bangladesh.” The conference was divided into several tracks, including one track devoted to economic issues. This volume specifically reflects that track and is a collection of nine papers on the Bangladesh economy that underwent a rigorous peer review.

Contents:

CHAPTER 1

Money Growth, Relative Food Prices and Inflation in Bangladesh: An Empirical Investigation with Monthly Data, 1972M1-2011M8> Introduction / Monetary Shocks and Relative Prices / Monetary Policy in Bangladesh / Data / Empirical Relations among Money, Output, Exchange Rates and Prices / Policy Implications of Empirical Findings and Concluding Remarks.

CHAPTER 2

Modeling Inflation Behavior in Bangladesh: A Phillips Curve Approach> Introduction / Literature Review / Data Issues and Variable Definitions / Modeling Inflation Behavior and the Phillips Curve / Estimated Models and Analyses / Conclusions.

CHAPTER 3> Output-Price Level Dynamics and Impact of Monetary Policy in Bangladesh / Introduction / Growth and Inflation in Bangladesh: Stylized Facts and Review of Related Literature / Targeting Low Inflation and Monetary Policy in Bangladesh / Estimation Methodology / Data / Research Findings / Conclusions

CHAPTER 4> Relationship between Money Growth and Stock Prices in Bangladesh / Introduction / Literature Review / Methodology and Data Sources / Test Results and Discussion / Conclusions

CHAPTER 5> Long-Run Determinants of Investment in Bangladesh / Introduction / Literature Review / Data and Methodology / Estimations and Results / Policy Implications of the Results / Conclusions

CHAPTER 6> Do Patterns of Development and Macroeconomic Uncertainty Explain Bangladesh’s Savings and Investment Puzzle? Introduction / Bangladesh’s Savings and Investment Puzzle / Differences in Patterns of Development / Does Macroeconomic Uncertainty Explain the Puzzle? / Policy Recommendations / Conclusions

CHAPTER 7> Crop Choice as Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture of Bangladesh: Policy Implications / Introduction / Literature Review / Theoretical Framework, Methodology and Data / Empirical Results / Policy Implications / Conclusions

CHAPTER 8> EU-India Free Trade Agreement (FTA): Possible Impact on Bangladesh’s Exports / Introduction / Data and Methodology / Impact of EU-India FTA on Bangladeshi Exports / Policy Recommendations and Conclusions

CHAPTER 9> The Performances and Challenges of Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Projects in Bangladesh / Introduction / Literature Review / Overview of PPP Projects in Bangladesh / PPP Project Development Phases and Regulatory Framework in Bangladesh / Selected Case Studies of PPP Projects in Bangladesh / Problems of PPP Project Implementation in Bangladesh / Policy Recommendations / Conclusions

CHAPTER 10> Impact of Microcredit on Rural Livelihood: A Case Study in Bangladesh / Issue / Literature Review / Objectives / Methodology / Data Analysis / Summary Findings and Conclusions

Phillips-Perron Unit Root Tests with Investment and its Related Series in Bangladesh: 1976-2010 / ARDL Cointegration Tests with Capital Formation in the LHS: 1976-2010 / Long Run Coefficients and Error Correction Estimates of ARDL Models on Capital Formation in Bangladesh: 1976-2010 / Multinomial Logit Regression of Crop Choice / Prediction of Temperature in Bangladesh / Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Production in Flood Affected Areas, 2008 / Bangladesh and India’s Trade with EU and Rest of the World (In US$ Billion) / EU Tariffs (AHS) on Bangladesh and India’s Exports (Value in US$ Billion) / Bangladesh’s and India’s FKI with EU-27 and the World / EU’s Top Import Items from Bangladesh (At 2-Digit Level) with Imports from India and Effectively Applied Rates (AHS) / Import Share of EU in 2010 in the Probable Most Affected Export Items of Bangladesh (Values in US$ Million) / RCA of Bangladesh and India with World on Bangladesh’s Top Export Items to EU / Top 15 Import Items of USA from Bangladesh as well as Import Share from India on these Items (Value in US$ Million) / Bangladesh’s and India’s Top Export Items in the EU and US Markets (2010 Value in US$ Million) / List of Export Items from Bangladesh Likely to be Most Affected by the EU-India FTA / Sector Wise PPP Projects Implemented in Bangladesh / Traditional Steps of PPP Project Development / India’s Experience in PPP Power Sector / Level of Children’s Education / Percentage of School Going Children amongst the Eligible Ones / Types of Latrine (Before and After Taking Microcredit) / Sources of Drinking Water (Before and After Taking Microcredit) / Use of Water Purification Systems (Before and After Taking Microcredit) / Affordability of Medical Service (Before and After Taking Microcredit) / Change in Amount of Land Ownership / Change in Status of Livestock / Status of Other Capital Assets / Adoption of Better Method of Livestock Rearing After Borrowing Microcredit / Change in Level of Savings / Extent of Women’s Decision Making Role in Terms of Education / Extent of Women’s Decision Making Role in Spending of the Family / Renovation/Repair of House Undertaken after Borrowing Microcredit / Respondents’ Judgment about the Betterment of Condition of their House in Post Microcredit-Borrowing Scenario / Material of Roof / Material of Wall

Figures / Inflation and the Output Gap in Bangladesh: 1976Q1-2010Q1 / Monsoon Rainfall Deviation Index of Bangladesh: 1976-2010 / Actual and Fitted Inflation in Bangladesh: 1978Q1-2010Q1 / Panel A: Forecast Band for Inflation in Bangladesh: 1976-2010 / Panel B: Forecast of Variance for Inflation in Bangladesh / Growth Rate of Real GDP and Inflation Rate of Bangladesh, 1971-2009 / Log of Real GDP and CPI of Bangladesh, 1971-2009 / Influential Factors to Capital Formation in Bangladesh: 1976-2010 / Poverty Headcount Ratios / GDP Per Capita / Real GDP Per Capita Growth (Per Cent) / Domestic Savings and Domestic Investment / Sectoral Shares of Agriculture / Sectoral Shares of Industry / Sectoral Shares of Services / Inflation and Money Supply / M2/GDP in Bangladesh, LICs and MICs / Exchange Rate Evolution / Exports and Imports / Current Account Balances / Terms of Trade / Net Flows on External Debt / Net Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) / Workers’ Remittances / GDP Uncertainty / Money Supply Uncertainty / Current Account Balance Uncertainty / Terms of Trade Uncertainty / GDP Growth, Money Supply Growth and Inflation (All in Per Cent) / Reserves in Months of Imports

Appendices / Methodology and Steps of Estimation / VAR (3) Estimation Results on Output and Price level Residuals / VAR (2) Estimation Results on Growth, Inflation and Money Supply Growth / Regression Results between DSE and DM2 / Regression Results between DSE and RIR / Coordination Schema

This book features in: Academic and Reference Books Economics and Finance

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